The yield on the Russian 10-year OFZ advanced past the 9.3% mark in September, rising steadily since August, when the Moscow Exchange allowed foreign investors from friendly countries to return to the Russian bond market for the first time since February. In the meantime, the Russian Treasury reportedly could restart OFZ auctions for limited offerings this month after having suspended debt issuance since early February, resulting in less than one fifth of its planned borrowing being collected so far. OFZ yields remain well below the soaring levels hit shortly after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as the worsening health of the Russian economy drove investors for safer assets and fixed coupons. Previously, the Kremlin approved a decree to allocate half of its $210 billion rainy-day fund for the purchase of OFZ bonds, a move it has never been done in the past, making it the main source of financing for Russia’s budget this year and also supporting prices for Russian bonds.
Historically, the Russia Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 19.89 in March of 2022. Russia Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September of 2022.
The Russia Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 9.60 percent by the end of this quarter, according to 王者荣耀电竞(江西)积分排榜 global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 10.37 in 12 months time.